Advanced Concepts for Handicapping Nascar
Handicapping Theory for NASCAR
By Michael Cash
Pregame Pro Handicapper
Over the last 10 years NASCAR (National Association of Stock Car Auto Racing) has been the fastest growing spectator sport in the world. It now boasts over 75 million fans worldwide and can be seen on television each week in over 150 countries. NASCAR holds 17 of the top 20 attended sporting events in the U.S. each year. Not surprisingly, is the growing number of NASCAR fans who have turned to betting on this popular pastime.
How to Handicap NASCAR:
When handicapping a NASCAR race there are a number of things to keep in mind:
Trends: NASCAR can be very streaky, much more so than other sports. When drivers get hot, they tend to stay hot, and when drivers are running cold it tends to take them a number of races to get things turned around. You will want to look at not only recent performances but historical performances, as well. Given that a NASCAR driver’s career can last 30+ years in some cases, knowing how to analyze information is crucial to long term profits
Drivers: Just like any other sport, NASCAR has its superstars. It is important to review driver statistics such as number of races run, top 5 finishes, and top 10 finishes – for each track. Some drivers who only have average talent can still perform well on certain tracks just as some top drivers struggle at the same tracks every year. It is important know your driver’s history so you will know if betting on him will offer you value or not.
Tracks: NASCAR has 4 distinct types of tracks, Short, Intermediate, Superspeedway and Road Course. Not all drivers do well on all track types. It is important to research a driver’s history on a specific type of track before placing your bets. You want to be especially careful when handicapping NASCAR’s road races because there are very few drivers who consistently perform well on road courses.
Crews: This is often an overlooked aspect of NASCAR handicapping. Some of NASCAR’s races can last in excess of 5 hours. Knowing who has a strong Crew Chief and pit crew is imperative to betting successfully.
Many outsiders believe that NASCAR is just Full Throttle and left hand turns. However, the experts know that it’s a combination of many little things that get a car to victory lane.
Financial Benefits to Betting on NASCAR
Yes, it’s true! Compared to other sports, there are many financial benefits to wagering on NASCAR.
NASCAR betting is quite favorable and attractive to bettors due to the large payouts one can receive by simply picking the Race Winner. Odds on the most popular drivers start at 4/1, which means that a single winning NASCAR bet can pay for your next four, or more, bets. This is much better and potentially more lucrative compared to the regular 1/1 payout that bettors of NFL, NBA, MLB, etc. typically experience. Here are a few more reasons:
There are No “Favorites”: NASCAR odds to win bets are always underdog (+) bets and even the drivers who oddsmakers feel are the strongest competitors for a particular race will start at least at 3/1 or 4/1 underdogs.
There is Time to Build a Bankroll: NASCAR wagering has a very high break-even point compared to other sports. This means that you can make several weeks worth of losing wagers without fear of getting buried because, in most cases, it will only take 1 race win to cover your losses in 5 or more races, depending on the line of the winner you select.
Same Competitors, Same Tracks: Because a NASCAR career can span decades, it’s relatively easy to get a handle on the competition in a short period of time. Also aiding in your handicapping is the fact that, with a few exceptions, NASCAR visits the same tracks year after year so you can use this historical information to make very accurate race predictions from season to season.
Types of NASCAR Bets
There are several different types of NASCAR bets available for each race including:
Odds to Win: This particular bet is the most simple and most popular. Simply pick the driver you think will win the race.
Matchups: This bet is offered for the Qualifying run and the actual race. It pairs two drivers together with one being the favorite (-) and one being the underdog (+). To win this bet you need to select the driver you believe will either qualify higher or finish the race higher.
Top Finishing Driver: This wager is similar to a Match Up bet but offers higher odds by setting a pool of drivers to pick from. To win this bet, the driver you select must finish higher than all the other drivers in the pool.
Manufacturer to Win: This is another very simple wager. Place a bet on which car maker (Ford, Dodge, Chevy or Toyota) will finish first in a particular race.
Manufacturer exacta: Those who have ever bet a horse race will recognize this term. To win this bet, you must pick the manufacturer of the first AND second place finishing cars in the correct order of a particular race.
> Learn the Betting Basics for NASCAR!
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Nascar 09 Chase Race #1 from New Hampshire Part 2
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NASCAR Racing Hooded Sweatshirt $39.99 Keep cozy and comfy while you are cheering for your favorite NASCAR driver with this stylish NASCAR Racing Hooded Sweatshirt. When you are seen wearing this sweatshirt everyone will know that you live and breath NASCAR. Drawstring hood Front pouch pocket Machine washable 50% cotton and 50% polyester blend Officially licensed |
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NASCAR Racing Welcome NASCAR Fans 3×5 Flag $28.99 Get your NASCAR Racing Welcome NASCAR Fans 3×5 Flag NOW! This flag is 3 feet long and 5 feet wide and has the NASCAR Racing driver logo and colors proudly placed on one side.. Flag also has two grommets for flying the flag outdoors- but also makes a great wall decor indoors. The flag has an extra wide headband and is made of 150 denier polyester. Officially licensed by NASCAR. Please Note: The design of this item changes frequently. As a result the image displayed is a representative image. The exact design may vary from the image shown. |
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NASCAR Racing NASCAR Nation 3×5 Flag $28.99 Get your NASCAR Racing NASCAR Nation 3×5 Flag NOW! This flag is 3 feet long and 5 feet wide and has the NASCAR Racing driver logo and colors proudly placed on one side.. Flag also has two grommets for flying the flag outdoors- but also makes a great wall decor indoors. The flag has an extra wide headband and is made of 150 denier polyester. Officially licensed by NASCAR. Please Note: The design of this item changes frequently. As a result the image displayed is a representative image. The exact design may vary from the image shown. |
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NASCAR Racing Tradition T-Shirt $14.99 Since its humble beginnings in 1948 to the national phenomenon it is today- professional racing fans from coast to coast will agree that there’s just something about NASCAR that amps up the adrenaline. Celebrate the sport of racing and show off your devotion with this NASCAR Racing Tradition T-Shirt. Stylish and comfortable- this NASCAR t-shirt features 100% cotton construction and has a bold screen print graphic front and center to highlight your fandom. Short sleeve t-shirt Rib knit collar Screen print graphics 100% Cotton Officially licensed |
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NASCAR Racing Striped 3×5 Flag $28.99 Get your NASCAR Racing Stripped 3×5 Flag NOW! This flag is 3 feet long and 5 feet wide and has the NASCAR Racing driver logo and colors proudly placed on one side.. Flag also has two grommets for flying the flag outdoors- but also makes a great wall decor indoors. The flag has an extra wide headband and is made of 150 denier polyester. Officially licensed by NASCAR. Please Note: The design of this item changes frequently. As a result the image displayed is a representative image. The exact design may vary from the image shown. |
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NASCAR Racing Checkered 3×5 Flag $28.99 Get your NASCAR Racing Checkered 3×5 Flag NOW! This flag is 3 feet long and 5 feet wide and has the NASCAR Racing driver logo and colors proudly placed on one side.. Flag also has two grommets for flying the flag outdoors- but also makes a great wall decor indoors. The flag has an extra wide headband and is made of 150 denier polyester. Officially licensed by NASCAR. Please Note: The design of this item changes frequently. As a result the image displayed is a representative image. The exact design may vary from the image shown. |
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NASCAR Racing Helmet Display Case $133.99 Display your NASCAR helmet with one of the deluxe acrylic cases. Each case has a mirrored back (Great for showing off your helmet). Each case is hand crafted in the United States. Measurements: Inner: 15â€? x 11â€? x 12 1/2″. Outer: 17â€? x 12â€? x 14 1/4â€?. |
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NASCAR Racing Double Sided 3×5 Flag $44.99 Get your NASCAR Racing Double Sided 3×5 Flag NOW! This flag is 3 feet long and 5 feet wide and has the driver logo and colors proudly placed on both sides of flag. Also reads correctly on both sides and has a liner that prevents light distortion. Flag also has two grommets for flying the flag outdoors- but also makes a great wall decor indoors. The flag has an extra wide headband and is made of 150 denier polyester. Officially licensed by NASCAR. Please Note: The design of this item changes frequently. As a result the image displayed is a representative image. The exact design may vary from the image shown. |
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NASCAR PARKING SIGN $7.99 Nascar metal wall sign recognizes the fervent enthusiasm of the true racing fan with this fun room accent. Great in bedroom, family room or den. Makes a great gift. 17 1/2 x 12 1/4”. |
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1993 Talladega – NASCAR DVD $24.99 1993 NASCAR Winston 500 Talladega Super speedway Now this is what racing’s all about! One of the most storied tracks in its short history- the Talladega Super speedway is the setting for NASCAR’s closest race to the finish line ever. 1993 was a difficult year for NASCAR as it mourned the loss of Alan Lukwicki in a plane crash near Bristol- Tennessee. Tragedy continued to haunt NASCAR nation as Davey Allison died from injuries suffered in a helicopter accident in the infield at Talladega. As NASCAR attempted to cope with these losses- the racing continued. In typical Talladega style- the racing was fierce for the DieHard 500. The lead changed four times in the final lap alone. Dale Earnhardt and the #3 car edged out Ernie Irvan by a mere six inches- or .005 seconds. This was the closest margin of victory since the advent of electronic timing. Now is your chance to witness one of NASCAR’s greatest heroes prevail in true Earnhardt fashion as “The Man In Black” powers his way to victory lane. Officially Licensed by NASCAR |
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History of NASCAR V1.0 DVD $20.99 A look at the best moments in the history of America’s largest spectator sport. As NASCAR celebrates more than six decades of car racing action- this program takes viewers all of the most important happenings from the 1940′s through today’s Winston Cup Championship. Great photo’s- rare footage- and interviews with some of the greatest drivers and their families complete this wonderful biography of one of the biggest sports of all time. 90 minutes and is officially licensed by NASCAR. |
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NASCAR HOOD CLOCK DALE JARRETT $29.99 NASCAR Hood Clocks feature racing’s brightest stars. Jeff Gordon, Rusty Wallace, Kevin Harvick and more are featured with their cars in vivid, full-color. Hood-shaped clock makes a terrific gift! Battery included. Wood, 10 x 12”. |
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NASCAR Sprint All-Star Race Event T-Shirt $14.99 Gear up for the All Star Race in style with this NASCAR Sprint All-Star Race Event T-Shirt. Racing t-shirt features screen print graphics and 100% cotton construction. NASCAR Sprint All-Star Race Event T-Shirt Rib knit collar Screen print graphics 100% Cotton Officially licensed NASCAR gear |
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Ford Racing Hooded Sweatshirt $39.99 Keep cozy and comfy while you are cheering for your favorite NASCAR driver with this stylish Ford Racing Hooded Sweatshirt. When you are seen wearing this sweatshirt everyone will know that you live and breath NASCAR. Drawstring hood Front pouch pocket Machine washable 50% cotton and 50% polyester blend Officially licensed |
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JumpFly NASCAR Sports Sweatshirt by CafePress $42.5 Promote JumpFly Support McGlynn Racing. Sports Sweatshirt Tee, TShirt, Shirt Warm up in our stylin’ Hanes Heavyweight 90/10 cotton/polyester sweatshirt. Thick but not bulky, for maximum comfort and durability whether you’re working out or hanging out. 10.1 oz. patented PrintPro174; fabric in a 90/10 cotton/polyester |
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Class of 2012 NASCAR Hall of Fame All Inductees Adjustable Hat $22.99 Searching for a simple yet timeless way to show that you are a die-hard Ford Racing fan? Look no further than this officially licensed Class of 2012 NASCAR Hall of Fame All Inductees Adjustable Hat. This comfy piece of Ford Racing apparel features team colors and is adjustable for desired comfort. When you are seen sporting this hat- everyone will know you are a die-hard fan. Adjustable back closure for desired comfort Features teams vibrant color scheme Six panel construction with eyelets Dynamic colored team logo Officially licensed |
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Cale Yarborough NASCAR Hall of Fame Inductee Adjustable Hat $22.99 Searching for a simple yet timeless way to show that you are a die-hard Ford Racing fan? Look no further than this officially licensed Cale Yarborough NASCAR Hall of Fame Inductee Adjustable Hat. This comfy piece of Ford Racing apparel features team colors and is adjustable for desired comfort. When you are seen sporting this hat- everyone will know you are a die-hard fan. Adjustable back closure for desired comfort Features teams vibrant color scheme Six panel construction with eyelets Dynamic colored team logo Officially licensed |
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Dale Inman NASCAR Hall of Fame Inductee Adjustable Hat $22.99 Searching for a simple yet timeless way to show that you are a die-hard Dodge Racing fan? Look no further than this officially licensed Dale Inman NASCAR Hall of Fame Inductee Adjustable Hat. This comfy piece of Dodge Racing apparel features team colors and is adjustable for desired comfort. When you are seen sporting this hat- everyone will know you are a die-hard fan. Adjustable back closure for desired comfort Features teams vibrant color scheme Six panel construction with eyelets Dynamic colored team logo Officially licensed |
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Glen Wood NASCAR Hall of Fame Inductee Adjustable Hat $22.99 Searching for a simple yet timeless way to show that you are a die-hard Ford Racing fan? Look no further than this officially licensed Glen Wood NASCAR Hall of Fame Inductee Adjustable Hat. This comfy piece of Ford Racing apparel features team colors and is adjustable for desired comfort. When you are seen sporting this hat- everyone will know you are a die-hard fan. Adjustable back closure for desired comfort Features teams vibrant color scheme Six panel construction with eyelets Dynamic colored team logo Officially licensed |
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Nascar Tony Stewart Tote – Red $18.39 Nascar-NASCAR Tony Stewart Tote |
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Nascar Jeff Gordon Tote – Black $18.39 Nascar-NASCAR Jeff Gordon Tote |
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Nascar Jimmie Johnson Tote – Blue $18.39 Nascar-NASCAR Jimmie Johnson Tote |
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Nascar Dale Jr Tote – Green $18.39 Nascar-NASCAR Dale Jr Tote |
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2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Champion Tony Stewart Sterling Silver 3X Champ Enamel Charm On Rollo Bracelet $116.99 Tony Stewart proved he is the undisputed champion of the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series! Now- you too- can celebrate his dramatic win with this NASCAR charm bracelet! This solid sterling silver bracelet is beautifully crafted with gleaming interlocking links and adorned with Tony Stewart’s 3-time championship charm. The charm is handcrafted in solid sterling silver- the official NASCAR Sprint Champion logo is embossed in the middle along with Tony Stewart’s number and his facsimile signature proclaiming victory! For added impact- the medallion’s background is precisely enameled in Tony’s color: racing red. |
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2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Champion Tony Stewart Sterling Silver 3X Champ Enamel Dangle Earrings $99.99 Indulge yourself with this object of desire. What better way to subtly- yet fashionably congratulate your driver for winning the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series? These sterling silver drop earrings are embossed with the official NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Logo- Tony Stewart’s number- facsimile signature and the three years he has won! For added impact- the medallion’s background is precisely enameled in Tony’s color: racing red. |
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2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Champion Tony Stewart Sterling Silver 3X Champ Enamel Charm On Key Chain $59.99 Turn on your ignition while turning heads with your Tony Stewart 3-time NASCAR Sprint Champion Key Chain! Fused with timeless elements and fashionable looks- this silver tone key chain is adorned with Tony Stewart’s 3-time championship charm. The charm is handcrafted in solid sterling silver- the official NASCAR Sprint Champion logo is embossed in the middle along with Tony Stewart’s number and his facsimile signature proclaiming victory! For added impact- the medallion’s background is precisely enameled in Tony’s color: racing red. |
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2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Champion Tony Stewart Sterling Silver 3X Champ Enamel Charm $54.99 Capture the moment that Tony Stewart won the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series for the third time with this Champion charm! Handcrafted in solid sterling silver- the official NASCAR Sprint Champion logo is embossed in the middle along with Tony Stewart’s number and his facsimile signature proclaiming victory! For added impact- the background is precisely enameled in Tony’s color: racing red. |
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2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Champion Tony Stewart Sterling Silver 3X Champ Enamel Post Earrings $99.99 Indulge yourself with this object of desire. What better way to subtly- yet fashionably congratulate your driver for winning the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series? These sterling silver post earrings are embossed with the official NASCAR Sprint Cup Series logo- Tony Stewart’s number- facsimile signature and the three years he has won! For added impact- the medallion’s background is precisely enameled in Tony’s color: racing red. |
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2011 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Champion Tony Stewart Sterling Silver 3X Champ Enamel Pendant Necklace $64.99 Capture the moment that Tony Stewart won the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series for the third time with this Champion charm! Handcrafted in solid sterling silver- the official NASCAR Sprint Champion logo is embossed in the middle along with Tony Stewart’s number and his facsimile signature proclaiming victory! For added impact- the background is precisely enameled in Tony’s color: racing red. Supported on an 18″ sterling silver chain. |
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Dale Earnhardt Jr. Plaque Details: Chevrolet 100th Anniversary, Hendrick Motorsports, Sublimated, 10×13, NASCAR Plaque $29.99 Celebrate Chevrolet’s 100 Years of Racing with this commemorative plaque. Each plaque comes with an image of Dale Earnhardt Jr. sublimated onto a pressboard plaque with a black overlay finish. It measures 10 1/2 x13x1 and is ready to hang in any home or office. Officially licensed by NASCAR. |
